According to their exit polls, Pollster Parametria forecasts that Sheinbaum will win a landslide 56% of the vote, with opposition candidate Xochitl Galvez at 30%.
Four other exit polls also said Sheinbaum was set to win.
Provisional results will trickle in over coming hours. Galvez has not conceded and told her supporters to be patient for the official results.
A victory for Sheinbaum would represent a major step for Mexico, a country known for its macho culture. The winner is set to begin a six-year term on Oct. 1. “I never imagined that one day I would vote for a woman,” 87-year-old Edelmira Montiel, a Sheinbaum supporter in Mexico’s smallest state Tlaxcala, said earlier on Sunday.
“Before we couldn’t even vote, and when you could, it was to vote for the person your husband told you to vote for. Thank God that has changed and I get to live it,” Montiel added.
Sheinbaum’s ruling MORENA party has also declared its candidate the winner of the Mexico City mayorship race, one of the country’s most important races, though the opposition has disputed that and claims its own nominee won the contest.
The killing of two people at polling places in Puebla state on Sunday tainted the election, which was also the most violent in Mexico’s modern history due to numerous attacks. Some 38 candidates were killed, with the violence stoking concerns about the threat of warring drug cartels to democracy.
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Security fears dominated the concerns of many voters at the polls and Sheinbaum will be tasked with confronting organized crime. More people have been killed during the mandate of outgoing President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador than during any other administration in Mexico’s modern history, although the homicide rate has come down over his term.
Pre-election polls indicated that MORENA and its allies will likely fall short of securing a two-thirds majority in Congress. That would make pushing constitutional reforms past opposition parties more difficult for Sheinbaum.
Lopez Obrador has loomed over the campaign, seeking to turn the vote into a referendum on his political agenda. Sheinbaum has rejected opposition claims that she would be a “puppet” of Lopez Obrador, though she has pledged to continue many of his policies including those that have helped Mexico’s poorest.
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Political analyst Viri Rios said she thought it was pure sexism for people to believe Sheinbaum was going to be a puppet.
“It’s unbelievable that people cannot believe she’s going to be making her own decisions, and I think that’s got a lot to do with the fact that she’s female,” she said.
(Reuters)